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Saturday, October 5, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Season Review: A Disappointing Year of What If's and Missed Opportunities

With the NRL Season almost at a close, the Grand Final happening tomorrow, and the Kiwi's matches just around the corner, I decided it was the perfect time to comb through the Warriors year and conduct my season review.

I came into this Season filled to the brim with optimism. Unfortunately, my expectations were severely overblown, with the Warriors failing to reach the finals after finishing the regular Season in 13th place.

For those who haven't read one of my season reviews before, I break it down into what happened this Season and my positives and negatives of 2024. I then highlight my top three warriors and the three that need to improve before wrapping it all up while casting a brief glimpse into what's next for me and the Warriors. So, let's stop the rambling and just get into the review.

What Went Down in 2024

The 2024 season for the Warriors was a whirlwind of highs and lows, with moments that filled fans with pride and others that left them frustrated. It was a year of close encounters, narrow losses, and flashes of brilliance, but inconsistency ultimately kept them from realizing their full potential. 
The Warriors ended 2024 in 13th place; in my season preview, I had predicted a 4th-place finish with a potential Grand Final appearance, so this was yet another incorrect prediction by me, which is becoming a trend for my season previews.
After the highs of 2023, I had hoped that this was the start of something special, but this Season brought me back to earth and hopefully reminded the club that to remain successful, you cannot take anything for granted.

Just like in 2023, the Warriors stayed in New Zealand for both of their preseason trials. They lost the first to the Tigers in Christchurch 18-16 before returning to Mount Smart to defeat the Dolphins 34-22.

The Warriors began their campaign at Go Media Stadium with a tight 16-12 loss to the Sharks, a game that set the tone for the close contests that would follow. A trip to Melbourne in Round 2 ended in a 30-26 defeat to the Storm, but the effort was promising. Things clicked in Round 3 when they secured their first win, beating the Raiders 18-10 in Christchurch, which sparked hope that momentum was starting to build. That win was followed by back-to-back home victories over the Knights (20-12) and Rabbitohs (34-4), with the latter being one of the more dominant displays of the Season.
However, the Warriors' Season was one of fine margins, and that was never clearer than in Round 6 when they played out a dramatic 22-22 draw with the Sea Eagles at home. The match was a thrilling back-and-forth affair, and while a draw left both sides unsatisfied, it displayed the Warriors’ fighting spirit. But the inconsistency that had plagued them reared its head again soon after. A tough loss to the Dragons away, followed by a narrow ANZAC Day defeat to the Titans (27-24), showed the team’s struggle to close out tight games. Those back-to-back losses to the Knights and Roosters in Rounds 9 and 10 kept them on the edge of the top eight, unable to string wins together.
Just when it looked like the Season might get away from them, the Warriors produced one of their most memorable moments in Magic Round, taking down the reigning premiers, the Panthers, 22-20. It was the kind of result that had the fans buzzing, a reminder of the team’s potential when everything fell into place. They followed it up with a 24-20 win over the Dolphins and a 42-12 victory over the Cowboys, but their form remained patchy, highlighted by a 38-24 loss to the Storm at home and a shocking 66-6 defeat at the hands of the Titans—a game that would be the low point of their Season.
There were still signs of life, though. The Warriors bounced back with an impressive 32-16 victory over the Broncos at Go Media Stadium in Round 17, showing that they could compete with anyone on their day. But narrow losses continued to haunt them. A heartbreaking 13-12 defeat to the Bulldogs in Round 18 and a 20-18 loss to the Raiders in Round 20 showed just how fine the margins were and how those small moments could make or break their Season.
Despite the setbacks, the Warriors kept fighting. A 28-16 win over the Wests Tigers in Round 21 gave the fans something to cheer about, but the following losses to the Eels and Dolphins in close, high-scoring affairs effectively dashed any lingering hopes of a late surge for the finals. However, they refused to go out quietly. In Round 26, in a thrilling contest against the Sharks at PointsBet Stadium, the Warriors finished their Season on a high with a dramatic 30-28 come-from-behind victory. It was a gutsy, hard-fought win that encapsulated the Warriors’ spirit and left a lasting impression on their loyal supporters.

This saw the Warriors end their campaign with a 9 win, 14 loss & 1 draw record; the 2024 season was a mixture of what could have been and what still could be. The Warriors showed they could match it with the best, as seen in their wins over the Panthers and Broncos, but the inability to close out tight games or maintain consistency ultimately cost them a shot at the finals. Heading into 2025, the team has plenty to build on. If they can iron out the flaws and bring more stability to their performances, the Warriors might be able to make a run for a return to finals.

My Positives for 2024


I've taken a few weeks since the Warriors exited the Season to comb through the Rounds. With the year not going as hoped, it was hard to find many positives, but I have found three I would like to highlight.

Promising Signs From Rookies

With the Warriors squad suffering more than their fair share of injuries, we saw some of the youngsters strut their stuff on the big stage. Jacob Laban, Ali Leiataua, Leka Halasima, Demitric Sifakula and Zyon Maiu'u were all given opportunities in first grade, and they all showed promise at what they could deliver if promoted to first grade full-time; some are closer than others, but all need a bit more seasoning, and the future looks good. The new pathways system is already showing promise, with the Harold Matthews side winning the comp in their first year, and while it will take time to reap the rewards of a good pathway, the Warriors are heading in the right direction. Fingers crossed, the next superstar halfback is growing in this pathway already.

SJ Final Game

Shaun Johnson's announcement of his retirement hit many, including myself, with a lot of emotions. After a disappointing loss in his final game at Mount Smart, the odds of him ending his career with a loss looked likely, and it was not something fitting for one of the Warriors' greats. However, the team rallied together to put together an impressive 30-28 come-from-behind victory. SJ played a crucial role in getting his side across the line, with the final play of his career being a cutout pass for the match-winning try. After a season of heartbreak with not much to celebrate, to see SJ end his playing career like that was a soothing balm to send me into the offseason. It still doesn't feel real that we will never see SJ lace up the boots again, and those boots will be so difficult to fill. He will go down as one of the best to have worn the Warriors jersey, and his impact on this club may never again be replicated. 

Mount Smart Sell Out's

The Warriors became the first NRL club to sell out every home game and set a new attendance record of 295,302 fans coming through the gates, averaging 24,608 a match. At the beginning of the Season, you could point towards the optimism we as a fanbase had for what this Season could bring, and when the losses started to pile up, I expected to see the crowds get smaller like we have seen in the past in other poor seasons and while the team wasnt getting the results on the field with a Mount Smart record of 4 wins, 5 losses and a draw that fans kept coming. This led to an amazing atmosphere for every game. The club has done well at creating a must-see experience, which makes every home game a must-see event. You would expect that 2025 will deliver more big crowds, and hopefully, the team can start using the energy of that crowd to their advantage and make Mount Smart a fortress that teams don't want to come to.

My Negatives for 2024


There were plenty of issues in 2024, but I have narrowed it down to my three most significant negatives from the Season.

Defence After Adversity

The most common theme in the negative section of my reviews this Season has been the Warriors struggling to defend after adversity. The Warriors showed the ability to stay in the fight in almost every match this year, but an ongoing theme was often, when they made an error or gave away a silly penalty, they conceded points almost immediately. This is purely an attitude issue, and Andrew Webster did acknowledge it at the Members Forum, advising that while the team prepared for each match great physically, they did take the mental preparation for granted, and it is something they are looking at correcting in the offseason. If they can sort that out, then they can turn more of those close losses into wins.

Inability to close out games

Out of the 14 defeats the Warriors suffered in 2024, 7 of them by 6 points or less (once by 1, twice by 2, once by three, twice by 4 and once by 6). One view of that is good; the Warriors kept themselves in range to win half of the games they lost. However, this also highlighted that the Warriors lacked that killer instinct and attacking finesse needed to be a genuine finals contender. There were factors like the constant switching of the lineup due to injuries and some bad luck thrown in, but ultimately, they were gun-shy with the ball in hand; if the Warriors don't figure out a better attacking game plan in 2025, we can expect to see more heartbreaking losses in the future.

Injuries

The Warriors were ravaged by injuries in 2024; the NRL Physio had the Warriors as the 2nd most affected, with an estimated 140 games missed collectively by top squad players (Rabbitohs were first with 213). This is something that is hard to predict or prevent, but it makes building momentum in your campaign difficult when the 17 players on the pitch are changing. Luke Metcalf and Shaun Johnson were picked as the Warrior's halves but only managed to play together 7 times, and one was only for 6 minutes. That was a massive blow to the Warriors' campaign, and that was just the start, with injuries to many others like Tohu Harris, Wayde Egan and Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and moments in matches where the Warriors lost their outside backs, forcing forwards to play in the backline. I have no solution to the injuries; I just hope that 2025 brings them a bit more luck. The only positive thing is that the injuries allowed younger talent to get some experience.

My Top Three Warriors for the Season

In my reviews this Season, I have selected my Warrior of the match, but behind the scenes, I was giving my own version of the Dally M 3,2,1 points to keep track of the players that shone in my personal view. 19 Players earned points throughout the Season, but I will only cover the top three here.

Addin Fonua-Blake - 32 points

It was another big year for AFB. With the news that he was leaving the club early to become a Shark, I had a few concerns that he may phone it in, but that was well and truly alleviated after his performance in round one. He was the big dog upfront week in and week out, and besides the little blemish when he was stood down for a match, he was always in the conversation of top performers every match, which is why he was miles ahead of everyone else in my yearly points. Always hit my triple-digit target in running metres and led the NRL in post-contact metres; despite all the heavy lifting he did with the ball in hand, his defence was always sound, with a 95.9% tackle efficiency. Has been one of, if not the best, prop in the game for the past two years and will be a massive loss for the Warriors. He may not have been here as long as we wanted, but he will go down as one of the best to have worn the Warriors jersey and will be missed.

Mitchell Barnett - 23 Points

It was a breakout year for Barnett, who really found his groove in the Warriors system. Moving to prop for most of the Season really brought out the best in him, which saw him rewarded with a call-up to the New South Wales side and a potential Kangaroos debut in a few weeks. He averaged 149 running metres a game and had a tackle efficiency of 93.9%, but what impressed me the most was his maturity. My biggest concern with Barnett joining the Warriors was his lack of discipline, but his record remained clean this Season, and he became a terrific Captain and leader of this side. He appears to enjoy being in New Zealand and playing for this club, which saw him extend his stay until the end of 2027, and I think he is certain to be the next Captain when Tohu either retires or steps down. 
He is also going to be a hell of a bargaining chip when recruiting talent from across the ditch, showing that you can move to NZ and still be in the conversation for Origin and International opportunities, which has always been a stigma for Aussies coming over here.

Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad - 10 Points

This award was a two-horse race, but Charnze took the bronze medal here. He is the epitome of effort, giving everything he has every minute he is on the pitch. It doesn't matter what position he plays; you know he will excel. With the Warrior's attack not being as potent as we saw in 2023, his attacking stats were down slightly, with only 5 try assists compared to last year's 8, but he had 10 linebreaks and 71 tackle breaks, showing he is still dangerous with the ball in hand. He averaged 202 running metres a game and came in clutch with some superb defensive saves. He is all heart, which is something that you cannot teach, and he makes the Warrior's side better by just being in it. His ability to excel regardless of where he plays is great for the Warriors and could potentially lead to a position switch in 2025, with Roger Tuivasa-Sheck not doing as well as we hoped at centre. I still love him at fullback, though, but if moving him to another spot on the field makes the Warriors stronger, then that's what needs to happen.


My Three Warriors Who Need to Improve

On the other hand, unlike the Warriors of the Year section, I only picked one player to improve each week; I have selected the three players who appeared the most in my Warriors to Improve segment each week. 11 players were picked at least once in this section in 2024; however, on a side note, the first-place selection was None Selected (picked five times this Season), where I did not pick a Warrior to improve in a match. 


Marcelo Montoya - 3 Selections 

It feels a bit harsh for Montoya, but three picks is not that high for an entire season; it was usually his errors that got him the nod during the Season. He ended the year with 21, averaging just a tad over 1 a game by Season's end. He scored 8 tries, which was third on the Warrior's leaderboard, and he had 67 tackle-breaks and 11 linebreaks; his defence was a bit patchy also with 21 missed tackles. He always ran the ball out of the Warrior's end with no thought for his own well-being and can never be accused of not doing his best; unfortunately for him, with all the talk around trying to make RTS work in this backline, Montoya is the first guy you would drop, which is probably why these rumours of the club letting him leave early if he wishes to be true. It would suck to see him go, but I understand the reasoning, and regardless of what jersey he wears next Season, I hope to see him have a better season.

Te Maire Martin - 3 Selections

Te Maire Martin is the first player in one of my season reviews who featured reasonably high in both the Warrior of the Year and the Warrior to Improve lists. He earned 10 points in the Warrior of the Year section after a run of surprising performances, but that was followed up by three games in a row, so I had to pick him as the player to improve. TMM was fantastic for a patch when given the keys to the Warriors attack but struggled to remain consistent and fell off. He showed some excellent ball-handling skills, which led to 16 try assists, but his lack of a big kicking game is what has me worried about what 2025 could bring. He is a hell of a talent, but as we have seen this Season, being the leader in the spine can be a struggle for him week in and week out. The biggest question for the Warriors 2025 preseason will be who fills Shaun Johnson's boots, and many have already picked TMM, but I need more time before I can give my thoughts on that.

Dallin Watene-Zelezniak - 3 Selections

Another tough pick, but it was always going to be tough to back up what DWZ delivered in 2023; with the Warrior's attack struggling, it meant that DWZ was kept relatively quiet, despite that he still ended the Season as the Warrior's top try scorer with 15. He just had a few too many errors and poor defensive reads, which made him pop up in this section. Showed glimpses of that attack we loved last Season, but it wasnt consistent; hopefully, the coaching staff can rejig the Warrior's attack in the offseason and get him back into that 2023 form as he is a tryscoring weapon when put in the

2024 In Summary

So that's another season in the books, and the Warriors' failure to reach the finals makes the Season a failure in my books. There is still plenty the club can work with to bounce back in 2025, but we can discuss that at a later date.

The 2024 season was full of what-ifs. What if the injury toll was less? What if a few calls went their way? I could go on; however, the fact is, in order to remain a finals threat, a team needs to evolve, and unfortunately, the Warriors didn't. Bringing the same tricks that worked in 2023 into 2024 did not work, with all teams coming prepared and easily shutting them down. A positive note is that this was a valuable lesson for the coaching staff to learn and should have them in a better position to get this side back on track.

With the Season over, we also bid farewell to Shaun Johnson, Addin Fonua-Blake, and Jazz Tevaga. Rumours swirl that Marcelo Montoya and Bunty Afoa could also leave the club. It's a bittersweet situation as I like all these players, and they are leaving some big holes. Regarding the 2025 additions, the Warriors have James Fisher-Harris, Erin Clark and Sam Healey coming in as first-grade-ready additions, as well as the intriguing prospect of Jett Cleary. Exciting additions, to be sure, but time will tell how Webby will make all the jigsaw puzzle pieces fit. Not to forget the return of the Warriors NRLW side, which is building nicely to hit the ground running as a title contender in 2025.

This was a tough season; I came in with plenty of optimism and expectation, but it just wasnt to be. I found writing the reviews tough again after 2023's super joyous Season, but we, as Warriors fans, have been through tough years before, and I'm looking forward to having better performances to write about next year; fingers crossed. We haven't seen the 2025 draw yet, but I am hoping for a few more games around the North Island so I can get some more road trips under my belt, as well as more sellout games at Mount Smart after this year's incredible effort of selling out all home games.

While the 2024 season was not what we expected or wanted, 2024 away from the field was a pretty good year for me. The Stand-Off is in its fifth Season, and we are getting closer to our 200th episode. I also got to join Roo & Hammer and Warriors NRL Fanatics a few times. I am still waiting for that invitation to jump on with This Warriors Life, but one day.
I also got to finally meet Roo and Hammer in person and ride their coattails on a tour around the club, which is an experience I will never forget.
It's great to see so many people creating content about the Warriors. As a team that sometimes gets forgotten in the media, it's incredible to see the fans fill in the gaps, and I'm excited about what everyone will do in 2025.
I am still determining what 2025 will bring for me. I will still be writing my reviews and hosting the Stand-Off; I had initially planned to dip a toe into creating videos this year, where I can chat more in-depth about the Warriors and invite people on to chat footy, but simply could not find the time so I will go back to the drawing board this offseason and perhaps look at doing that in 2025. Let me know if videos on Warriors news, rumours and interviews are something you guys would be interested in seeing from me.

While the writing will have a little break, my show, The Stand-Off, will still have a few more episodes before Season Five ends as we cover the international games, so come check it out at 8 p.m. on Wednesdays; it streams on my Facebook page and is also on the New Zealand Sport Radio YouTube Channel as well.

Thank you again for reading my reviews this year; it means so much to me, and I look forward to chatting with you all again soon.

That was my take on a disappointing 2024 season, and as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Where do you think the 2024 season went wrong?
Who was your player of the year?
Which player do you think needs to improve the most?
What realistic changes would you make for next Season?
How do you see the 2025 season going?