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Monday, April 22, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Round 7 Review: Dragons Dominate Warriors in Humiliating Loss

After their tense draw against the Sea Eagles, the Warriors headed back across the ditch to face the Dragons. After a promising start, the Warriors fell apart, with the Dragons making their 30-12 victory look like a training run.

What Went Down


The Warriors started the match strong with some strong runs from the pack before being handed a good opportunity after Francis Molo gave away a penalty for a flop: moments later, Shaun Johnson spied a gap and went himself crossing the line untouched for the first try of the match. The Warriors kept the pressure on and forced an error from Moses Suli and camped themselves in the Dragon's half; with the Dragons continuing to make errors and penalties, it looked certain the Warriors would cross the try-line again; however, the Dragon's defence held firm and won the battle when Jacob Liddle intercepted a pass to release some pressure. Between the 18th and 23rd minutes, the momentum started to swing with the Warriors making an error and giving away three penalties, the last one giving the Dragons valuable field position, which they took advantage of when Ben Hunt passed to Suli, who broke Rocco Berry's tackle and crossed for the home sides first points. An error in the next set, when Marcelo Montoya dropped the ball while getting tackled on the kick return, saw the Dragons right back at it, and a few plays later, crossed again when they shifted right to send Mikaele Ravalawa over for his first try of the season. The home side kept the pressure on and was guided up the field on the back of a Warriors penalty and ruck infringement before Hunt took on the goal line defence and powered his way over the line to extend his side's lead. With the first half almost over, Zac Lomax kicked a 2-point field goal to extend his side's lead to 16-6 as both sides entered the sheds.

The second started in the same fashion that the first ended, with the Dragons scoring within the first minute when Lomax grabbed a high kick over the top on Montoya to push their lead out to 16. They kept the pressure on the Warriors, who struggled to create any opportunities with the limited ball they had before they found themselves under the pump again when the Dragons forced a goal-line dropout; Johnson's kick went short but did look like it was going to bounce over the ten-metre line but was grabbed by Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, giving the Dragon's an easy penalty which they slotted to move out to a 24-6 lead. That looked to provide a mini wakeup call for the Warriors, who started to string some sets together and started making inroads into the Dragon's red zone but struggled against their strong goal-line defence; this pressure led to another mistake when Johnson dropped the ball before watching Tyrell Sloan scoop it up and run the length of the field to score what would be the last try of the match for the Dragons. With time running out, the Warriors had a few attempts at scoring but were not able to cross the line before finally making a play stick in the 70th minute when they shifted right, sending Dallin Watene-Zelezniak over in the corner; Johnson conversion was the final scoring play of the match as both sides spent the final ten minutes trading sets and errors until the final whistle blew putting the Warriors and their fans out of their misery with a 30-6 loss and their worst defeat of the season.

My Thoughts

Well, that sucked; of all teams were to get dominated by, it had to be the team I despise the most. I thought the Warriors started well in the first 20, but they just went off the rails. Being down 16-6 at the break wasn't a game-ender for me as we had seen the Warriors adjust and fight back from a significant deficit before, but when the Dragons came out firing, I knew deep down that this would not be the night. With the Warriors' middle stocks heavily depleted and an injury ruling out Chanel Harris-Tavita before kickoff, I had many concerns about the Warriors' bench rotation. Unfortunately, those concerns proved true with the big boppers being used for big minutes and gassing out and a reluctance to use Adam Pompey and Paul Roache until the game was well and truly over; I personally would have given Zyon Maiu'u a shot, I know he may not be ready for first grade yet, and I'm biased due to being a massive fan of the young forward. Still, I think he may have been able to help, although his inclusion would not have fixed the schoolboy issues that caused the collapse here.
It was an ugly game to watch and was very unlike Andrew Webster Warriors and more like the side we had grown used to before he joined, with the players bickering on the field and looking like a bunch of individuals instead of the focused team we have gotten used to. 
Many of the issues in this match are fixable and can be addressed, so I am not one of the people writing this side off now; this was an aberration, and we will see a bounce back sooner rather than later.
I have no excuses for this game, and I am happy to forget about it once this review is done.

There wasnt much to smile about this week, but I found a couple, which brings me to my positives.

Match Positives

We are another week closer to getting some troops back. Dylan Walker and Chanel Harris-Tavita should both be available this week. However, we still have the rest of the injured players who won't be in contention to return until after the Magic Round. I have been praising the club's depth, but with the middle stocks cleaned out, it has proven to be too much. 

Perhaps this result can provide a bit of a wakeup call; I'm not involved in the camp, but perhaps with all the praise in the media and being discussed all week due to the news of James Fisher-Harris joining the club in 2025 went to the player's heads or perhaps they came into this match taking the Dragons lightly. I can't confirm that by any stretch, but with how the team performed and how Webster used his bench, it looked like they weren't respecting the Dragons. A dangerous mistake in the NRL when any team on their day can beat anyone. This humbling performance may have come at the right time so they can refocus and return to climbing the ladder.

However, I did have plenty of concerns, which brings me to my negatives from the game.

Match Negatives

The Dragons got themselves into the battle on the back of the Warrior's ill-discipline and errors. They ended the match with 7 penalties conceded, 3 ruck infringements and 10 errors. Most of them were just coach-killer actions, and against any team, giving away 20 free sets will make getting the victory much harder. Just take a breath and focus on the basics; that has got the Warriors in the driver's seat in many of the contests this year, the way they play a more clinical style with a heavy focus on applying pressure. If they do that, I expect to see their performance improve.

The attack was a mess; they could not find a way through the Dragon's defence for large portions of the match, with the only tries coming from SJ taking advantage of the Dragons, assuming he was shifting it wide and not trying to shut him down and then the try to DWZ which is hard for any side to stop. It goes back to what I was saying earlier about the team visually bickering with each other; they were all out of sync, which was reflected in the attacking structure. Although I can't blame it all on the Warriors as the Dragons' defence was impressive, with a big highlight being when Tohu Harris got across the line, and the Dragons carried him back into the field of play. It was a tremendous effort from them; so much of the credit needs to go their way.

The Warriors' defence, however, could have been better; there were moments in this match where they looked like turnstiles with either poor communication or terrible technique. The two moments that stood out for me were the Ben Hunt try, which he should never have been able to score, and the Lomax try, where Montoya didn't even attempt to jump for the kick and was left to look silly. Defence is an attitude thing for the most part, so it wasnt a big surprise to see their defensive structures fall apart the further behind they got on the scoreboard. This is another easy fix for Webster and his team to work on before the next Round.

Warrior of the Match


My Warrior of the Match goes to Addin Fonua-Blake.
In a game full of disappointing performances, AFB had a strong outing, running for 255 metres, with 108 of those being post-contact metres. He made 23 tackles and was one of only two players (the other being Roger Tuivasa-Sheck) that ended the match with 0 missed tackles. Had big minutes, which we expected with the bench named as it was, but he was one of a select few who looked to be giving their all for the entire contest, albeit with a few uncharacteristic errors that he would wish he could take back. The news of James Fisher-Harris joining the club is excellent, but I will miss AFB when he leaves. I hope the club sends him out on a high note.

Warrior to Improve


My Player to improve is Marcelo Montoya.
This section was a tossup between Montoya and Jackson Ford this week, but after that Lomax try, I knew I had to go Montoya's way. He had quite a few moments in this game that put the Warriors on the back foot, that Lomax try, His error on the kick return and then the defensive effort that led to Ravalawa's try. Just not a great night out for the winger who, while he has improved a lot under Webster, he is still prone to an off night, which is what we saw here. I expect a bounceback, but if he has another effort like this, I would not be surprised to see Ed Kosi or Adam Pompey getting that wing spot.

Next Round Thoughts and Prediction


In Round 8, the Warriors head home to host an ANZAC Day clash for the first time since 2015 against the Gold Coast Titans, the same opponents they faced on this day nine years ago. The Titans are the only winless side left in the NRL, but they came close in Round 7 with a 34-30 loss against the Sea Eagles.
Regarding the team I would pick, they are low on troops, but if Dylan Walker and Chanel Harris-Tavita are cleared to play, I would bring them onto the bench, replacing Adam Pompey and Paul Roache in my only changes.

The Titans have had a shocking start to the season, but in the past two rounds, they have shown significant improvement, which has me a bit concerned; they are showing up and putting a lot of pressure on their opponents, and they cannot be taken lightly. This ANZAC Day game is a massive occasion that the Warriors have struggled with in the past; in front of another sellout crowd in Auckland, there will be some big expectations for the Warriors to walk away with the win here.
The Warriors just need to keep it simple, stick to the game plan of kicking to the corners and applying pressure, and reduce the errors and penalties, and the points will come.
I am confident of a bounce back, but it will be a close match, so I am picking the Warriors to win by 8.

So, that was a disappointing Round 7, but as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Would you have given Zyon his chance?
Do you have any concerns after seeing the team bickering with each other?
How would you have used the bench in this match?
What is your score prediction against the Titans?

Monday, April 15, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Round 6 Review: Sea Eagles and Warriors Share Spoils in Intense 22-22 Stalemate

After their big win over the Rabbitohs, the Warriors returned to Auckland to host the Manly Sea Eagles.

In typical Auckland weather that couldn't make up its mind, the Sea Eagles started strong and looked to have the Warriors' number, but the home side dug deep and managed to force the match to Golden Point. Neither side could nail the victory, leading to this season's first draw, 22 all.

What Went Down


Both sides went set for set in the opening ten minutes before Manly seized their opportunity when Tom Trbojevic's close-range surge led to a fortuitous deflection, which was grounded by Daly Cherry-Evans. A second error from Jackson Ford gave Manly an opportunity to apply further pressure but despite a clever grubber from DCE, the Warriors managed to release some of the pressure by regaining possession from the short dropout. In the 24th minute, a slick move down the left flank saw Tommy Talau's precise kick set up DCE for his second try of the evening. Minutes later, some solid defence from Talau and Jake Trbojevic forced a Warriors error, allowing Tommy Turbo to send Talau over untouched to score the third try of the contest. 
An error from Manly in the 30th minute opened the door for the Warriors, who fired the ball out wide to Marcelo Montoya, but he was tackled over the sideline by Ben Trbojevic. The Warriors kept plugging away and finally found themselves getting some points with back-to-back tries, first when Tohu Harris fired a flat pass to Jazz Tevaga to crash over under the posts, then Dallin Watene-Zelezniak snatched an intercept to run over 50 metres to score and end the half with the Warriors trailing 16-12.

The Warriors looked certain to be the first team to score but appeared to panic on the last tackle, with the ball ending up in Addin Fonua-Blake's hands; his attempted offload went to the ground before being latched onto by Manly. The Sea Eagles then got a helping hand up the field from a Kurt Capewell penalty before crossing for the first try of the second when DCE sent passed the ball to Ben Trbojevich, who found a gap between Te Maire Martin and Roger Tuivasa-Sheck; this saw Manly extend their lead back out to 12 points. It was almost ten minutes before another scoring play developed when Shaun Johnson broke the line and backed himself as he evaded Turbo and dived over the line; he missed the conversion, which would prove to be a crucial miss. The try looked to reinvigorate both the Warriors and the home crowd as they surged up the field before a Johnson kick hit the posts, but the Warriors could not turn it into points as Tom Ales's offload went to ground. This saw the game become a mix of errors and staunch defence as both sides forced their opposite to start their sets from deep within their own halves. The Warrior's defence forced a few mistakes and spent a lot of time with the ball in hand but struggled to convert that possession into much-needed points until the 79th minute, where a delayed Johnson offload saw DWZ cross over in the corner to reduce the Sea Eagles lead to 2 points with a minute to go. The Warriors took little time to try and win the contest in the dying stages, rushing up the field before Johnson attempted a two-point field goal that missed as the final siren went, but we would not be done yet as the bunker was brought into the action when Chris Butler asked them to check the contact of Johnson from Josh Aloiai who deemed a penalty was worthy, which Johnson then slotted to see the scores level to send the match into Golden Point.

Both sides traded errors early on in overtime, but neither side could take advantage as the overtime period went the distance, with the only scoring opportunities coming from missed field goals from DCE and Johnson to see the game end as the first draw in 2024.

My Thoughts

Well, that was a rollercoaster of emotions. At 16-0 after the first 30 minutes, it looked like it was going to be a long night, but those two quick tries kept them in the hunt. That late-game comeback was an amazing situation to be in the Stadium for, especially when we have had to watch the opposition do that to the Warriors. Unfortunately, their game went backwards a little after I praised it last week. The defence, at times, was exposed, and the attack was just a touch out of sync. The final penalty, which forced the game into Golden Point, I don't deem as a penalty, but going off what happened last week to Freddy Lussick, they had to give it, so I will take it.
The issues I had with the performance are easy to address and correct, so I expect to see a vast improvement this week as the Warriors hit a series of games against bottom 9 teams.

It's disappointing not to get the win here, but after that fightback, I think they deserved the draw. Who knows what that single point could mean towards the end of the season? It could be a difference maker in their earning a higher spot without relying on points differential.

There were a few things to smile about this week, which brings me to my positives.

Match Positives

The defence in the final stages of regular time and then in Golden Point was impressive; they worked together and continually drove Manly backwards, aiding them in relieving the pressure and reapplying it on the Sea Eagles. It was a key factor in them getting back into the contest, and if they could bring that defensive structure to every game for 80 minutes, they would be in the driver's seat to get the win. 

AFB had another big game; with the injury to Bunty Afoa last week and then the Jazz Tevaga injury during this match, the front rows stocks are now scraping the barrel, so AFB had to put in the work and played for 74 minutes, ran for 196m and made 47 tackles. He has a hell of a motor on him, and I think the Warriors will be leaning on him until some of those experienced forwards return. Man, I am going to miss him in 2025, but I'm going to just enjoy watching him in 2024.

Lastly, the fightback, as I already mentioned, the Warriors were behind 16-0 in the first 30, and many teams would have simply given up, but they kept plugging away, trying to get back into the contest and refused to quit. This is the most important thing I want to see from the team every week, just give it 100% and never hang your head and throw in the towel. There will be games this year where the opposition may string a few tries together and build a lead, but after this effort, the side knows they have what it takes to get back into the fight, and that will be a great confidence builder for the rest of the season.

However, I did have some concerns, which brings me to my negatives from the game.

Match Negatives

I praised the late-stage defence, but the defence in the first hour of this game was a big concern; they were not working as a unit with DCE making easy work of their structure and tore them to shreds. The Sea Eagles troubled the Warriors with their second phase football, which was a concern I had with the Warrior's defence in 2023. It needs to be something that Webster and his team work on quickly. As you can imagine, the rest of the NRL teams will have this weakness noted and will look to utilise it. 

The errors killed any chances of the Warriors building momentum. They made 13 errors in this match, and while some of them may have been a bit dodgy, the Warriors cannot just give away that much free ball; in wet conditions, there were moments when they forced the passes while they played catchup footy, and they just didn't stick. Again, another aspect of their game that can be fixed is that they just have to focus, communicate, and not panic.

Lastly, the officials, before I move on, I am not trying to blame the referees. Still, I think Chris Butler had a very average game (in fact, you could say it was an average weekend for the officials in most games); watching in the Stadium, I had a decent view of the contest. Most of the time, Manly was not going back ten, and a few of the knock-ons and stripping calls seemed a bit dubious. Plus, the kick disruptor call was ridiculous and seemed to be the new conversation starter, with it being called in a few matches. It is another black-and-white rule that needs a bit of grey added a bit like the kick charge-down calls, which again, I think was a harsh call against Manly here; the officials have not been at the desired level so far in 2024, and hopefully, there will be some improvement soon because it takes some of the joy out of watching all eight games every week for me.

Warrior of the Match


My Warrior of the Match goes to Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad.
CNK just brings 100% effort whenever he is on the pitch. He ran for 346 metres, had 8 tackle breaks, and was a constant threat to create opportunities with the ball in hand. He is just all heart and makes this team better by being on the pitch. Very sound under the high ball and doesn't shy away from doing the hard yards when the Warriors need him to. I was hoping to see him and RTS link up more than we saw here, but that combination will come in time.
Also, the chatter about RTS moving to the fullback spot is still around, but it is getting quieter, which is great because I am team CNK Fullback.

Warrior to Improve


My Player to improve is Jackson Ford.
Ford's second selection of the season was a tough one this week, with a few players not having the best nights. He was good defensively, making 48 tackles with only 2 misses, but he led the Warriors with 3 errors, and kind of went into his shell after that, with only 6 runs against his name. He is a very solid player, but when he gets a case of the dropsies, he finds it hard to shake, which is a shame as his line running is fantastic, and when he holds onto the ball, he is hard to top. He was taken off the field in the 75th minute, which is unusual for the 80-minute player, but at the stage of the game, the Warriors needed players out there that they could trust to hold onto the ball. I'm expecting a big bounceback from him this week, which he may need, with Jacob Laban continuing to impress with the small chances he is getting.

Next Round Thoughts and Prediction


In Round 7, the Warriors head back across the ditch to WIN Stadium to face the Dragons, who defeated the Wests Tigers 24-12 in Round 6.
Regarding the team I would pick, I would keep it the same. With Jazz Tevaga out due to his hamstring injury, it means the Warriors need to grab a youngster, so I think this week is the time to give Zyon Maiu'i his shot. I hope it happens, as I have big wraps on him and want to see him knock it out of the park.

If any of you have read my stuff for a while, you would know I do not like the Dragons at all. They have been a bit up and down this season. They are not a great team, but Ben Hunt is always dangerous, and Zac Lomax has been an amazing attacking weapon on the wing. So he will be their main target, and the Warriors will need to keep him quiet, which is easier said than done.
The Warriors need to reduce their errors and stick to their game plan of controlling the middle, pushing those kicks to the corner, and forcing the Dragons to play from deep within their own half.
If they do that for 80 minutes, they should walk away with a convincing win, so I am going all in and picking the Warriors to win by 18.

So, that was a tense Round 6, but as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Who would you bring in for Jazz?
Would you drop Ford for Laban or give him more time?
How would you improve the NRL officiating?
What is your score prediction against the Dragons?

Monday, April 8, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Round 5 Review: Warriors End Souths Hoodoo in Dominant Style

 

After earning their second win of the season, the Warriors made the journey back to Australia to face a Rabbitohs side that they have not been able to defeat since 2018.

With several last-minute injuries causing the Warriors' lineup to change with some big outs, the side started on the backfoot but started to click around the 10th minute, putting on their most dominant display in 2024 with a 34-4 victory.

What Went Down


It wasnt an ideal start for the Warriors as they huddled under the goalposts after just five minutes when the Rabbitohs tested their right-edge defence, which saw Izaac Thompson break the line and then step Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad for the first points of the match. The Warriors wasted little time striking back, taking advantage of a Rabbitohs error when Rocco Berry barged over after receiving a trademark Shaun Johnson flat pass; Johnson's conversion handed the Warriors the lead. Both sides traded sets and errors for the next 20 minutes, with the Rabbitohs discipline causing them plenty of issues, including seeing Latrell Mitchell placed on report twice. With the pressure building, the Warriors were over again, with Johnson hitting another flat pass, this time to Jackson Ford, who crashed over for his third try of the season. The Warriors weren't finished yet as they closed the first half with another try when Nicoll-Klokstad broke the line before sending Johnson over under the posts to see the visitors enter the sheds with an 18-4 lead.

The second half started in the same manner, the Rabbitohs making another error before the Warriors punished them for it after Wayde Egan threw an offload to Te Maire Martin, who, in open space, got the ball to Johnson for his second try of the day. With a win almost already in the books, the game settled into a grind, but the Rabbitohs continued to be their own worst enemy, with the Warrior's defence proving more than capable of keeping the home side unsettled. In the final 20 minutes, the Warriors crossed two more times, the first in the 61st minute when they shifted right like we have seen so often since 2023, with Roger Tuivasa-Sheck replacing Dallin Watene-Zelezniak as the finisher as he dived over in the corner to score in his 200th NRL match before Te Maire Martin displayed a nice bit of individual brilliance to bob and weave his way over the line in the 70th minute in what would be the final scoring play of the match in a commanding 34-4 victory.

My Thoughts

Well, that's three on the trot. While I predicted a Warriors win here, I did not expect them to win by 30, especially with the side having to play without Marata Niukore, Kurt Capewell and Dallin Watene-Zelezniak. To be fair, the Rabbitohs have been embarrassing poor this season, but as we saw last year when they were in their funk, they just seemed to find a way to step up and beat the Warriors, and it looked like it was going to be that way again in the first 10 minutes when Souths were punishing the Warriors right edge defence, but the Warriors weathered the Storm and then just took control. 
I'm not the smartest guy out there talking football, but from what I have seen this year, the Warriors' game plan is all about pressure. They force the opposition to fight their way off their own try line with deep kicks and quick kick chasers. Then they keep their attack simple and just keep plugging away, knowing their opposition will eventually give them an opportunity. They have taken their defence to another level. They have conceded the least amount of points this season to date, and if they keep that up, it will take them a long way to earning a shot at the premiership.
It may not be highlight-reel-worthy football, but it wins matches, and that is the point.

This team just keeps improving. There is still a hell of a long way to go this season and plenty to work on, but the signs look promising.

There was more to smile about this week, which brings me to my positives.

Match Positives

The attack continues to develop; I said there was a link missing, and with the return of CNK, we saw that link return; he is such a valuable asset when he joins the attack, as we saw with some great runs and link plays he was involved in. With the spine almost all back (you could say completely back if you are Team TMM) and CNK, Egan and SJ are combining so well. You know, if they are all out there together, they will get points on the board.

I feel like a broken record, but the forwards killed it again; this Rabbitohs pack is no joke, and the Warriors bullied them with ease; all the forwards, with the exception of Bunty Afoa (who went off injured) and Jacob Laban, cracked my triple digit target. Addin Fonua-Blake (192m), Mitchell Barnett (129m), Tohu Harris (127m), Jazz Tevaga (113m), Jackson Ford (104m) and Tom Ale (100m). It has got to a point where we shouldn't be surprised about how good this pack is, but I still want to see them go toe-to-toe with the Panthers and Broncos packs because then we will know how good the Warriors forwards actually are.

In my preseason review, I praised the Warriors' depth, but man, it is coming in clutch right now to win in this manner with so many players out, which is an impressive statement. To see this side continue to put in good performances regardless of the players in the 17 jerseys is a testament to the coaching staff; the next-man-up approach is working, and when the young guns like Jacob Laban get their chance, they come out looking like they belong which is precisely what you want from your fringe players. While I want to see what this side can do when the best 17 men are out there, it gives me confidence that this side is less likely to be derailed by injuries.

However, I did have some concerns, which brings me to my negatives from the game.

Match Negatives

That right-edged defence looked shocking at the start of this match, I expected it to be messy with RTS on the wing and the combination being new, but as the game progressed, it did show improvement. I can give them some slack as it wasnt the planned edge during the week, but you know, against a better side, that kind of clunkiness will get punished, so hopefully, this is something that is worked on during the week just in case we see that combination on that edge again.

I just praised the squad's depth, but these injuries are soul-crushing. I am concerned with Niukore and his health. He was my guy to replace AFB, but if he continues to struggle to get on the pitch, then that will be almost impossible for him to do. We are five rounds in and have yet to see the main 17 actually play, so hopefully, the injuries will start to slow down, and lady luck will start to be on the Warriors' side.

Warrior of the Match


My Warrior of the Match goes to Wayde Egan.
Egan was a beast in this match, constantly scooting out of the ruck and causing the Rabbitohs plenty of headaches. He was a key figure in most of the Warriors' tries and defended the middle valiantly. I have mentioned the depth, but I think Egan is the only player the Warriors cannot play without. He works so well with the halves, and with the forwards rolling forward, it makes his job much easier. He has had his fair share of criticism from fans, media and me, but he is making us all eat our words. I believe he hasn't hit his best yet, so I look forward to seeing how much more he can grow.

Warrior to Improve


My Player to improve is Jazz Tevaga.
I feel like I'm being a bit harsh here as I thought that all the players did well, and Jazz had great stats, running for 113 metres and making 15 tackles, but his two errors (it felt like more) really stuck out for me. When everyone is healthy, the competition for spots is fierce, and if he doesn't sort his hands out, he may struggle for game time, which he desperately needs with no contract signed yet for 2025 if he wants to stay in the NRL with the Warriors or another club he needs to show how good he can be and reduce the schoolboy's errors, he has already improved his discipline, so I know he can sort the rest.

Next Round Thoughts and Prediction


In Round 6, the Warriors return to Go Media stadium to host the Sea Eagles, who bounced back in Round 5 with a 32-18 win over the Panthers.
Regarding the team I would pick, I would just bring back any players that missed this match with injury, so DWZ, Capewell and Walker come back if fit, replacing Pompey, Tevaga and Laban.

The Sea Eagles have been up and down this season, winning over the Rabbitohs, Roosters, and Panthers but also losing to the Dragons and Eels. So it is hard to say what Manly will show up. They have superstars who could cause havoc and a pack that could humble the Warriors if they are not in the right mindset.
However, if the Warriors' forwards do what they have done every week so far, they will control the middle, which will unleash the Warriors' spine. We can finally see if CNK can unleash RTS as a centre-attacking weapon. Add to that their strong defence and a win should almost be in the bag.
I am feeling confident, so I am going with a Warriors win by 12.

So, that was a great Round 5, but as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

What changes would you make to the 17 if the players missing here return?
What did you think of Laban's debut?
Who was your player of the day?
What is your score prediction against the Sea Eagles?

Monday, April 1, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Round 4 Review: Warriors grind to back-to-back wins against rudderless Knights

 

After achieving their first win of the year in Christchurch, the Warriors returned to a sold-out Go Media stadium to host a Knights side fresh off the high of also earning their first win in Round 3.

In a tight contest, the Warriors did enough in the first 44 minutes to secure the lead, and despite a Knights comeback attempt in the final 10 minutes, the Warriors held on for a 20-12 victory.

What Went Down


The Warriors started the match well, showing intent with the ball in hand, but in the tenth minute, they suffered a big blow when Luke Metcalf went down with a suspected leg fracture. This saw the early injection of Chanel Harris-Tavita, a fortuitous addition to the gameday 17 just hours before kickoff. The Warriors kept the pressure on, despite some sharp running from Kalyn Ponga causing a few headaches, and after a few Knights errors, they got themselves in good field position to strike first when Shaun Johnson got the ball to Jackson Ford, who hit and span his way over in the 16th minute. Moments later, they were over again when Wayde Egan sniped out of dummy half before getting the ball to Harris-Tavita for his first try since returning to the club. The game started to settle into a grind, with both sides trading errors until the 35th minute, when the Knights got themselves on the board after Tyson Frizell collected a Tyson Gamble grubber and bulldozed his way through CHT to score. This saw the Warriors enter the sheds with a 12-6 lead.

The Warriors wasted little time getting into the action in the second half. In the 43rd minute, Marcelo Montoya snatched a CHT cross-field kick to score in the corner, and Shaun Johnsons' conversion extended the Warriors' lead to 18-6. This was the last scoring play for about 20 minutes as both sides traded sets with a handful of exciting attacking plays from both sides, causing the fans to get out of their chairs. The Warriors extended their lead to 20-6 in the 71st minute after kicking a penalty due to Jayden Brailey being offside with the 10 metres. The Knights dug deep and tried to get back into the contest and got Warriors fans nervous when a Ponga grubber found its way to Bradman Best, who touched down; Ponga's conversion saw the Knights only 8 points behind with 6 minutes to go, but the Warriors defence held firm as the Knights crumbled under pressure with back-to-back errors to see the Warriors earn the much needed two points and improve their record to 2-2.

My Thoughts

Well, the Warriors have another win, which was an improvement from last week's performance. However, there is still plenty to work on, which is to be expected with some key players still out and only being a month into the season.
This game was a real grind fest, which I expected with the pack the Knights have, but the Warrior's forwards were strong once again, with four of them cracking the triple-digit mark that I want to see every week, and this was integral in getting this win, the Knights team have issues with their halves right now so by shutting down their pack like the Warriors did the Knights really struggled with direction on attack with them relying on individual brilliance and grubbers to keep them in the contest.
There were still a few missed opportunities from the Warriors, and with the amount of pressure they had the Knights under in this match, they should have had a few more tries to their tally, but perhaps im just being greedy.

I left the match generally happy. The pieces are coming together. The NRL season is a marathon, not a sprint, and when it all clicks, this will be an exciting team to watch. There are a few tests coming up in the next few weeks, so hopefully, they will click sooner rather than later.

There was more to smile about this week, which brings me to my positives.

Match Positives

I thought Wayde Egan's return improved the attack; he cleared the ruck quickly and made the most of some lacklustre Knights marker defence with a few big runs out of dummy-half. With the forwards rolling up the middle, we saw the Warriors' backs cause some havoc, but they just didn't have the polish to finish some of the sets off. As I have already said above, when the polish comes, this team is going to score plenty of points.

The defence was great here, apart from a few amazing runs. The Warriors kept Ponga contained, and conceding only two tries from kicks is a good day at the office. There were no easy tries given away from the poor defence in the middle or edges. Montoya and Dallin Watene-Zelezniak did cause me a few heart-in-mouth moments with some poor-timed rush-ins, but the Warriors scrambled well in those moments and shut those attacks down. They just need to keep this defensive consistency up.

Lastly, the inclusion of Chanel Harris-Tavita proved to be a masterstroke; I was already in my seat at the Stadium when the final team was announced and was surprised to see that CHT had taken Freddy Lussick's spot on the bench but was happy as I have said in previous weeks that I like the idea of CHT on the bench as he provides a bit more cover than Lussick does, mainly because if Egan doesn't get hurt he plays the entire game anyway. Then that injury to Metcalf happened, and CHT just slotted in and didn't miss a step, whereas if Lussick was there, we probably would have seen him move to hooker and Egan into the halves, which would have disrupted the attack. Sucks to see Metcalf go off, but it looks like CHT may have that halves spot for the foreseeable future.

However, I did have some concerns, which brings me to my negatives from the game.

Match Negatives

Just like in 2023, the Warriors go into a lull when Mitchell Barnett and Addin Fonua-Blake both exit the contest; they are the big dogs in this pack, so a drop-off is expected, but it is usually the time in a game where the opposition gets back into the contest, Bunty Afoa keeps the middle solid with his defence and Marata Niukore added some impact and I'm confident that with a few more games under his belt he will improve and make the passage of time the big bopper are off the pitch less impactful.

Once again, the Warrior's last ten minutes were on a knife edge. I can't pinpoint what it is, but they clock off just a smidge, leaving the door open for a Knight's comeback. The past two weeks, they have survived the blip with some stern defence, but I want to see them continue to pile on the pressure in that final stage instead of spending it stuck on their line, as it will save my nerves.

Luke Metcalf's injury was a cruel blow. CHT stepping in and performing well was great, but it hurts to see Metcalf injured once again. He has had more than his fair share of bad luck, but he had cemented his spot in the starting lineup and was improving every week. It can be mentally taxing on players when they suffer injury after injury, and while there has been no official word, it sounds like he has a fracture so similar to Te Maire Martin last season that we may not see Metcalf for some time. I have my fingers crossed that it isn't that bad, and he can return soon, but either way, hopefully, the people around him can keep his spirits up.

Warrior of the Match


My Warrior of the Match goes to Roger Tuivasa-Sheck.
A big game from RTS in his first start at Fullback this season; he ran for 283 metres and had 7 tackle breaks, including an impressive display where he stepped two players in quick succession before bumping over Adam Elliott. He also had some good defensive moments, including knocking the ball down and stopping an almost certain try in the final stages of the contest. The only downside was one dropped kick, but he has made one significant error every game so far this season and always makes up for it. Just an excellent performance and a great backup fullback to have on the roster; I know a lot of the media and social media pundits want to see him be the Warriors fullback for good, but I'm in the centre camp and look forward to seeing how he goes when CNK is out the back providing that link player in the sets plays.

Warrior to Improve


I have no player to improve for the second week in a row, as none of the 17 did enough to be classed as letting the team down in my eyes.

Next Round Thoughts and Prediction


Round 5 sees the Warriors back across the ditch to face the Rabbitohs at Accor Stadium, who finally got their first win this round with a 20-16 victory over the Bulldogs.
Regarding the team I would pick, I would only change the 17 to bring back players or replace injured ones. Andrew Webster said in the press conference that CNK will be back this week, so I would have him at Fullback, with RTS replacing Adam Pompey in the centres. I would also have CHT stay in the halves with Freddy Lussick coming back to the bench. If Dylan Walker gets the all-clear, I would bring him in for Jaz Tevaga.

The Rabbitohs have been embarrassing this season, but as Warriors fans know, regardless of how well or poorly Souths are doing, they seem to love showing up and putting the Warriors to the sword. So, I am expecting another tough matchup here. The Warriors pack dominated the Knights this week, and they need to do that again here. If they do that and we see the return of CNK, then the backs should have plenty of chances to target the Rabbitohs' edges, and the points will come.
Souths have shown little respect for the ball this season, so if the Warriors continue kicking to the corners and applying the pressure with their kick chase, we should see the Rabbitohs fold. So I'm going with the Warriors to get their first win on Australian soil, winning by 10.

So, that was a better Round 4, but as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Do you have a player to improve?
Which camp are you in, RTS Fullback or Centre?
Who would you bring in for Metcalf, CHT or TMM?
What is your score prediction against the Rabbitohs?

Monday, March 25, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Round 3 Review: Warriors First Win in the Books after Scratchy Showing vs Raiders

After their heartbreaking defeat in Melbourne, the Warriors returned to New Zealand, heading down to Christchurch in a sold-out Apollo Projects Stadium to host a Raiders team that has surprised many with their 2-0 start.

The Warriors started strong, but errors and missed opportunities saw the Raiders get back into the contest before a quick flurry of tries saw the Warriors come back to secure their first win of 2024, 18-10.

What Went Down


After trading errors in the opening stages, the Warriors were the first to show their attacking threat after Shaun Johnson put Jackson Ford into open space; he opted to hold onto the ball instead of putting away an unmarked Luke Metcalf, a Jordan Rapana conceded penalty keep the Warriors in control and moments later the Warriors were on the board after Johnson put Addin Fonua-Blake over untouched in the eighth minute. The big prop almost had his second in the 18th minute when Rocco Berry caught a Johnson kick and put him into space, but he wasnt fast enough, and the Raiders scrambled well to bring him down metres from the try line. Berry was involved again 5 minutes later when the Warriors unleashed their right edge attack, but his decision to hold on to the ball instead of feeding Dallin Watene-Zelezniak saw the Warriors miss another scoring chance.
The sides traded errors and penalties until the Raiders looked to have scored in the 30th minute when Ethan Strange powered his way over the try line; however, his try was denied by the Bunker, a Freddy Lussick error handed the ball back to the Raiders, and this time, they would not be denied when Matt Timoko barged towards the line breaking the tackles of Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and Marcelo Montoya, Jamal Fogarty's conversion attempt missed the mark to see the Warriors cling onto a 2 point lead. In the dying stages of the first half, the Raiders tried to out on one last big play, but that was put to rest when DWZ made a bone-rattling tackle on Albert Hopoate in the last big play of the half, seeing the Warriors go into the sheds with a 6-4 lead.

The second half continued the trend of both sides swapping errors, with neither really finding their feet. The only highlight in the first ten minutes after the break was a Tom Ale line break; he tried to put Mitchell Barnett away, only for him to be run down. The Warriors then shifted left, but Montoya was bundled over the sideline.
After that let-off, the Raiders started stringing some attacks together and took their first lead of the match moments later when Fogarty made a nice pass to Timoko. Timoko then passed the ball to Nick Cotric, who dove over the line basically untouched due to an ill-timed Montoya rush in.
The Warriors, under pressure, kept their composure and kept plugging away and, in the 61st minute, would regain their lead when the Warriors shifted the ball to the right to DWZ, who then ran back towards the middle of the pitch before getting the ball to Metcalf who made easy work of the scrambling defence to cross under the dot.
A few minutes later, the Warriors were over again when Cotric dropped a Metcalf kick. The Warriors went to the right quickly, and Tuivasa-Sheck broke two tackles to cross for his first try since his return from Union. With time running out, it was edge-of-your-seat stuff for Warriors fans who remembered last week's ending. The Warriors were under a lot of pressure, but the Raiders panicked, making some simple errors to hand the Warriors a much-needed 18-10 win, sending the sellout crowd home happy.

My Thoughts

Well, this was an interesting game, the first win of the year, but for me, it was their worst performance this season. That's not a knock on them; they had to win ugly, and despite those losses in the first two rounds, they didn't drop their heads and hung on to the bitter end, turning on the pressure with their defence, which saw the Raiders wilt.
The Raiders have proven to be a tough, gritty team this season, so this wasn't going to be an easy game. However, if the Warriors had completed some of their missed opportunities, this could have been a comfortable victory. As I have said in each review this season, there is a lot to work on, but the pieces are there, and once they all click into place, this side will be a tough team to face.

This game had it all: beautiful attacking plays, bone-rattling defence, a few hair-pulling moments, and one hell of a crowd. So, as nerve-racking as it was to watch, it was an enjoyable contest and, hopefully, the start of a run for the Warriors with some favourable matchups on the horizon.

It wasn't their best performance, but there were a few things to smile about, which brings me to my positives.

Match Positives

The forwards continue to impress me this season, with 5 running for over 100 metres.
Jackson Ford (164m), Addin Fonua-Blake (159m), Mitchell Barnett (150m), Tohu Harris (130m) and Jazz Tevaga (101m). There is still a drop-off when Barnett and AFB leave the pitch, but the replacement middles are improving; Tevaga got through plenty of work, Tom Ale added some impact, and Bunty Afoa added some defensive starch to the middle of the field. Still work to do, of course, but if they can keep improving on getting that go forward, we should see the backs create many more attacking opportunities.

It's a week closer to getting the full-strength side back: Waye Egan, Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad, Marata Niukore, Dylan Walker, and now Taine Tuaupiki are all out. I commended the squad's depth in the preseason, and it has been tested. I think the players who have had to step up have done a decent job, but I can't wait to see what the full-strength 17 can do when on the pitch together.

The club has spoken a lot about being 0-2, not affecting them, but as a player, it does sit in the back of your mind a little, so getting that win just takes some pressure off. Playing well but still losing can just suck all the air out of the room, so this was a perfectly timed confidence boost.
They have runs on the board now and can focus on stringing together some victories.

However, I did have concerns, which brings me to my negatives from the game.

Match Negatives

The Warrior's errors jumped into double digits for the first time this season, with 13 made.
I'm not sure if their desperate pursuit of that first win made them push things a little, but to face the top dogs in this competition, you cannot give away this many free sets, as they will put you to the sword. They have shown in patches that they can play attacking football with limited errors, so I want to see those patches extend to the entire contest.

Flowing on from the errors, the missed opportunities were true coachkillers, Ford going alone instead of putting Metcalf away, and Berry not passing to DWZ are the two that spring to mind. You can let these go in a victory, but if the Warriors lose this you know these moments would be brought up countless times. They are little things, but they will improve with a bit more confidence and communication; they are split-second decisions that need to be made, but with a bit more time together, I am sure that these opportunites will be taken.

The right edge attack looks to be getting back to its 2023 form slowly, which is great; however, the left edge attack still needs work; the majority of the time that it looked dangerous was when Shaun Johnson shifted that way, Metcalf is growing each and every work, but I want to see his distribution skills go up another level to really unleash RTS and Montoya. That edge just screams points, so once they get to a point where both sides are deadly, then the opposition's defence is just going to open up.

Warrior of the Match


My Warrior of the Match goes to Tohu Harris.
The skipper delivers week in and week out, but because he always plays well, he sometimes gets overlooked in this section (a bit like Simon Mannering used to). He led the side with 50 tackles, ran for 130m, and was more involved in the playmaking with some excellent passing plays. He is a true legend of this club; despite the constant injury concerns that cloud Harris, he continuously churns through the work and is a great role model for the young forwards developing at the Warriors.

Warrior to Improve


I actually have no player to improve this week, Jackson Ford and Marcelo Montoya were close, but I think by the end of 80 minutes, their negatives were balanced out by their positives, a statement that would have been different if the Warriors lost this much, I am sure.

Next Round Thoughts and Prediction


Round 4 sees the Warriors remain on home soil, returning to Go Media Stadium to face the Newcastle Knights, who defeated the Storm 14-12 in Round 3.
Regarding the team I would pick, we know Taine Tuaupiki is out. If Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad is ready to go, I would bring him straight back in. If he is not ready, then Tuivasa-Sheck moves to fullback, and I would bring Ali Leiataua into the centres. If Wayde Egan and Dylan Walker are also fit, I would bring them back, with Chanel Harris-Tavita and Jazz Tevaga dropping out.

The Knights haven't had the greatest start to the 2024 season but showed a lot of improvement in their first win of the year against Melbourne. You know they will be looking for some revenge after the Warriors ended their 2023 season in this venue in a dominant fashion, so I'm expecting a tough contest. 
It's almost rinse and repeat from last week. If the Warriors can reduce those errors and play a consistent 80 minutes, a win is definitely on the cards, I'm confident that they will be up for this so I am picking the Warriors to win by 8.

So, that was a relieving Round 3, but as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Do you have a player to improve?
Who would you bring in at centre if CNK is unavailable for Round 4 and RTS plays fullback?
Which Warrior has surprised you the most so far this season?
What is your score prediction against the Knights?

Monday, March 18, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Round 2 Review: Coates Magic Breaks Warriors Hearts In Unbelievable Finish

After their disappointing defeat in Round One, the Warriors made their first trip across the ditch to face the Melbourne Storm.

The Storm started strong with the match looking to be heading to another big blowout; however, the Warriors fought back with a great second-half effort only to leave the door open for the Storm to steal the victory 30-26 in the final seconds with a try that will feature in NRL highlight reels for years to come.

What Went Down


The Storm took advantage of an early Warriors error and penalty to score via Will Warbrick just before the 4-minute mark. The Storm looked to have the edge in the early stages, with the Warriors continuing to give away penalties. The Warriors then strung some attack together and sent Dallin Watene-Zelezniak over in the corner to level the scores in the 12th minute.
The Storm responded moments later when a timely offload saw Jahrome Hughes sprint down the field before putting Nick Meaney away.
More errors and penalties from the Warriors extended their lead to 18-6, with a Meaney penalty and a try to Ryan Papenhuyzen in the 21st minute.
The game started to balance out, with the Warriors slowing down the Storm onslaught with both sides trading errors.
In the 32nd minute, Marcelo Montoya looked to have scored a much-needed try for the Warriors. However, the bunker overturned the onfield decision. A few sets later, the bunker was involved again when the Warriors unsuccessfully used their captain's challenge, claiming that Jackson Ford did not obstruct Jahrome Hughes in the last big play of the first half.

The Storm started the second half just like the Warriors did in the first, making several errors and penalties, which allowed the Warriors to take control, with DWZ scoring in the second at the 44th-minute mark with one of his trademark corner dives. Four minutes later, the Warriors were over again when the bunker confirmed that Jackson Ford had done enough to ground the ball.
The Storms' lack of discipline allowed the Warriors to level the scores in the 56th minute when Luke Metcalf kicked a penalty. Moments later, an error from Xavier Coates allowed the Warriors to strike again, with Montoya crossing in the corner after a nice left-edge shift.
The teams went set for set for the next ten minutes before Harry Grant gave away a silly penalty, which saw Metcalf extend the Warrior's lead to 24-18 with a penalty.
Papenhuyzen caught the Grant bug and gave away a penalty in the 71st minute, which saw the Warriors add another 2 points to their lead via Metcalf and set up a very tense final 10 minutes.
The Storm started to build some pressure and finally broke the Warriors' line with an excellent play when Eliesa Katoa passed the ball back inside to Papenhuyzen for his second try of the night.
Time was running out for the Storm, and it all looked over when Jonah Pezet's 2-point field goal was charged down; however, the charge down allowed the tackle count to restart, and with less than a minute remaining, the Storm shifted quickly to the left and got the ball to Coates who defied gravity to touchdown in the corner for the match winner, extending the Storms winning streak over the Warriors to 15 with a 30-26 victory. 

My Thoughts

Well, this one hurt. 
I came into this match predicting a Storm win, but I still hoped the Warriors could break their losing streak. When the Storm started strong and looked to be cutting the Warriors to shreds, I feared we would witness another massive loss at AAMI Park. However, the Warriors hung on and then turned the momentum in their favour, but when playing teams like Melbourne, a victory is only in the bag once that whistle blows, and that's what happened here. It took an amazing try for the Storm to get the win, but they never gave up, to their credit. 
Of course, there were a few what-if moments; what if Montoya's first try was allowed? What if the field goal charge down was regathered by the Warriors? If those things happened, we could be discussing the Warrior's first win this season, but that's just not how the NRL works.

Despite now being 0-2, I remain optimistic that the Warriors will remain playoff contenders this season. While this performance had positive aspects, there is still plenty to work on. 
In a few weeks, the team will welcome back Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad, Wayde Egan, and Marata Niukore, and then we will see the team move up a level, so I don't see any need to throw the baby out with the bath water just yet.

It was another disappointing loss, but there were a few things to smile about, which brings me to my positives.

Match Positives

The team fought back; they were dominated for much of the first half, and the game could have quickly become a training run for the Storm. However, the Warriors reduced their errors and stuck to the basics, which made them a tough team to stop last year. That right edge attack still has the ability to score at will, but the left edge started to show how much that has improved this season; Metcalf is improving with his distribution game, and the Warriors got Roger Tuivasa-Sheck in space a few times to cause some havoc. Add CNK back into the mix, and this side will score plenty of points.

Just like last week, the Warriors pack were doing plenty of heavy lifting with the ball in hand; four forwards cracked the triple-figure mark, the same four that did it last week, Addin Fonua-Blake (155m), Tohu Harris (154m), Dylan Walker (134m) and Mitchell Barnett (119m). Jackson Ford and Bunty Afoa were close to hitting those figures, too, and if the Warriors pack can hit these numbers consistently, then it makes the back's job easier. We didn't get to see the quick ruck play we saw last week, but that comes down to no Egan and the Storms' ability to slow the ruck without getting in trouble with the officials.

It was good to see Chanel Harris-Tavita make his return, and while he only got 8 minutes, I thought he showed that he could be a handy option on the bench; I would have liked to see him get more minutes at Hooker here and could even be tempted to see him take Lussicks spot on the bench when Egan returns.

However, I did have concerns, which brings me to my negatives from the game.

Match Negatives

We have watched the Warriors not play a consistent 80 minutes for the second week in a row. In Round 1, it was a great first half and a poor second; this week, it was the opposite. Seeing this as a fan is frustrating, and I can only imagine how it's making the staff in the coach's box feel. Sorting this out has to be a top priority as the side prepares for Round 3.
I can't explain why this side is playing the cliche game of two halves right now, but if it continues, they may struggle to climb the ladder.

The Storm made going up the middle of the pitch look easy; the Warrior's defence there just wasnt stopping the Storm middles; they were falling off the tackles, not wrapping the arms up to prevent offloads, and just giving Melbourne a free pass.
This did improve as the game developed, and when Bunty Afoa entered the game, he filled a massive gap there defensively, which is a huge credit to his tackling ability. It just reminded me of that Broncos finals defeat where they terrorised the Warriors up the middle and utilised that second-phase football; the Warriors need to work on this, as it is a massive chink in their armour.

The Warrior's errors did come down from round 1, with only 8 errors made this match. However, I want to see them reduce even more, and it is more around when and where the errors happened. Against top sides, you just can't give them free sets.
We want to see this side build momentum and punish teams, not build momentum and let the opposition off the hook.

Warrior of the Match


My Warrior of the Match goes to Dallin Watene-Zelezniak.
It was a big night out for DWZ. He led the match in running metres with 196m, had two linebreaks, and scored a double. Always runs the ball hard and gives his all with the ball in hand. Hard to fault him for preventing Coates from scoring the match-winner, but if I had to nitpick, I would say if he had a bit more trust that Rocco Berry had the inside covered, then he may have been over more to stop Coates, but given the situation, I thought he did all he could. Always a threat close to the line, though, and I'm sure we will see plenty of tries in his corner this season.

Warrior to Improve


My Warrior to improve is Tom Ale.
Hard to judge, with Ale only getting 14 minutes to show his worth here, but I expected more than his 5 runs for 63m and 4 tackles. It is hard to get a lot of work done in that short period of time. Still, if he wants more minutes, he needs to make a more significant impact, I had him on my bench instead of Afoa, but after this match, I think Afoa has the edge to keep his spot when Marata Niukore returns from injury with Ale being the forward dropped.

Next Round Thoughts and Prediction


In Round 3, the Warriors return to New Zealand, heading to Christchurch to face the Canberra Raiders. The Raiders remain undefeated after beating the Wests Tigers 32-12 in Round 2.
Regarding the team, I would keep it the same unless Wayde Egan is fit; if he can play, then I would bring him back and have Chanel Harris-Tevita as my 14.

The Warriors faced and defeated the Raiders twice last season, the first 36-14 and the second 21-20. Over their history, they've actually been even with 23 wins each.
Many had written the Raiders off this season, but they have shown that when it matters, they are a gritty team that will give 100% for the entire 80.
If the Warriors can play for the entire 80 consistently, reduce the errors and earn the right to attack the edges by winning the middle, then they are well on their way to earning their first win in 2024.
I think the Warriors are desperate for a win and will do more than enough to get the job done, so I am picking the Warriors to win by 12.

So, that was a heartbreaking Round 2, but as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Who was your Player of the Day?
If Egan is back, who is your 14, CHT or Lussick?
How would you fix the Warrior's game of two-half performances?
What is your score prediction against the Raiders?

Monday, March 11, 2024

NZ Warriors 2024 Round 1 Review: Plenty to work on for Clunky Warriors after Sharks Defeat

With the preseason officially behind us, the NRL is back, and Round 1 saw the Warriors start their campaign hosting the Sharks on home soil at Go Media Stadium.

The Warriors started strong in front of a sellout crowd but began to unravel as the match progressed, going down 16-12.

What Went Down


The Warriors showed their intent in the early stages, with quick ruck speed allowing them to march up the field easily. With the Sharks backpeddling, the Warriors crossed the line first in the 7th minute thanks to a bargeover from future Shark Addin Fonua-Blake. 
A few sets later, off the back of a Sharks error, the Warriors were over again, thanks to a piece of individual brilliance from Luke Metcalf when he cut back inside before evading five tacklers to score under the posts. 
The Warriors kept the pressure on, with Jackson Ford, Dallin Watene-Zelezniak, and Kurt Capewell all almost scoring. After that, the game started to get into a grind, with both sides trading errors and penalties before the Sharks finally got on the scoreboard when Jesse Ramien sniped over from the dummy half in the 34th minute. This was the last play of note in the first half, with the Warriors going into the sheds with a 12-6 lead.

The Warriors started the second half in the worst way possible, making an error in their first set, which the Sharks punished them for when Ronaldo Mulitalo scored in the corner. Nicholas Hynes missed the conversion, which saw his side remain two points behind.
The sides went set for set, with errors again featuring heavily for both teams before Siosifa Talakai broke the line and attempted to send Mulitalo over for his second. The Warriors stopped him but not his offload, which went back to Talakai to dive across the line, handing the Sharks the lead.
The Warriors started to mount pressure in the final 20 minutes, earning themselves repeat sets after repeat sets. However, they could not convert that pressure into points as the Sharks defended their goal valiantly and held on for a deserved 16-12 victory.

My Thoughts

Well, it's fair to say that wasn't how I expected Round 1 to go for the Warriors.
They looked great for the first 20 minutes, and then things started to unravel; I can't put my finger on why there was a drop-off, but I know Andrew Webster and his team will be working on that this week, so we won't see it become a pattern with the club.
Was it the best performance? No, but I thought there were still some positive aspects of what we saw, and while it's not the best platform to kick the season off, it's definitely not the worst.
It's early in the season, and there is no reason to panic. If they iron out some of the kinks, they will be back in the Winners Circle once again.

Before I move on, it was great to be back in a packed-out stadium again. Hopefully, we will get more sellouts in the future in Auckland; I know Christchurch is already sold out, but I expect the big crowds to continue to make their way to Penrose.
The Warrior's entrance is incredible to watch (although I prefer it when they run out to Ru Ana Te Whenua by Alien Weaponry instead of Welcome to the Jungle, as it was more unique to the Warriors, in my opinion).
And also I'm not a fan of the new game announcer who kind of killed the crowd, I'm not sure if he is the new man going forward, but if he is, hopefully, he will pick his game up.

It wasn't the best start to the season, but there were a few things to smile about, which brings me to my positives.

Match Positive

The forwards put in a massive effort with five of them running over 100 metres, Tohu Harris (237m), Addin Fonua-Blake (220m), Mitchell Barnett (174m), Dylan Walker (159m) and Jackson Ford (110m). The pack also ensured they had quick play the balls, which allowed the Warriors to play a faster style, which the Sharks struggled to contain. It needs to be something they can do for 80 minutes instead of 20, although Egan's exit didn't help matters.

The Warriors' defence was good, with only 19 misses. It is still something they can improve on, as a few lapses allowed the Sharks across the line, but they defused a lot of what the Sharks threw at them. It's early days, and with some new combinations still working things out, I expect the defensive game to become a key aspect of their climbing the ladder.

They played great for 20 minutes and then poor for 60 but were still in the fight right up to the final whistle; this is a good reflection of this side's character; when things started to go wrong, they didn't give up and kept trying. When they work out those things that went wrong, then they are going to win plenty of games, and in those tense games, when the result is on the edge of a knife, we know that they won't give up on the match or each other, which is championship team material.

However, I did have concerns, which brings me to my negatives from the game.

Match Negatives

The team's attack was a bit stilted. There were moments when they looked electric, but there were plenty of moments when the team looked a little off. I am putting that down to the combinations that still need time to get in sync. It may take a few games, but when they click, they will be hard to stop, and the points will start to flow.

The team only made 9 errors, which isn't bad, as my target is single-digit errors, so they just squeezed in.
However, it was the locations and times the errors were made that were the issue; building momentum and then making an error just sucked the life out of the Warrior's attack, but just like above, I believe this will improve when the team gets used to the new combinations.

The exit of Wayde Egan was crushing, he came off around the 30th minute, and I'm still not sure if that was for a niggle or part of the gameplan, but the Warriors missed him out there, and the service out of the ruck just wasnt as quick when Lussick came out. Egans return to the match was shortlived, lasting only a tad over a minute when he injured his elbow. There still isn't an update on how bad it is; however, the Warriors could find themselves in some strife if he is out long-term, so I have my fingers crossed for a speedy recovery.

The injury to Egan and Kurt Capewell also threw the interchange plan out the window, resulting in Tom Ale not getting any minutes. Webster commented on it in the post-match interview, saying that the plan for Ale was to give him the final 15 minutes, but with one interchange left and Egan and Capewell gone, he had to make a choice, and with the game on the line, he choose to bring Addin Fonua-Blake back on which was the right decision. Sucks for Ale, but hopefully, he gets a chance to get on the pitch this week.

Warrior of the Match


My Warrior of the Match goes to Addin Fonua-Blake.
The news that AFB was leaving the Warriors early was disheartening, and his performance here truly showed how much the Warriors will miss him in 2025.
He played fewer minutes than we are used to, but it did not reduce his effort. In the 56 minutes he was on the pitch, he ran for 220 metres, had 63 post-contact minutes, and led the match with 2 linebreaks. He also made 23 tackles with no misses.
AFB is the cornerstone of the Warriors pack, and he will always be one of the top contributors every week. I expect that to continue until his last game with the club.
I want to see some of the younger boys in the pack try to get closer to his level, which is no easy feat.

Warrior to Improve


My Warrior to improve is Jackson Ford.
He delivered more than enough to avoid this section normally; he had 14 runs for 110 metres, led the Warriors in tackles with 38 and was giving his all.
However, he made three coach-killing errors, which halted all the pressure the Warriors had created. I like Ford and think he is a solid contributor to this side, but he is prone to errors and giving away silly penalties. Competition for spots is tight at the Warriors, so if he wants to keep his spot, he needs to decrease the number of turnovers he gives away.

Next Round Thoughts and Prediction



Round 2 sees the Warriors head across the ditch for the first time in 2024 to face the Melbourne Storm, who defeated the Penrith Panthers 8-0 in Round 1. 
Regarding the team I would pick, I would keep the same 17 if everyone is fit; there are still question marks around Wayde Egan and Kurt Capewell being able to play.
If Egan is out, I would bring Chanel Harris-Tavita in to play hooker, either starting with Lussick on the bench or the other way around. If Capewell can't play, I would move Barnett to the 2nd row and Afoa to the starting row, with Jacob Laban coming onto the bench.

The Warriors have struggled against the Storm for a long time, with their last victory in Melbourne being in 2014. They were close to getting the job done last season and have the ability to end their Melbourne losing streak. If they can play with the same ruck speed they showed in the first 20 minutes against the Sharks and reduce those errors, they have a massive shot, especially against a Storm team that is still a bit rusty. Unfortunately, I think the Storm will be too strong at home, so I'm picking them to win by 8, but I hope I'm wrong.

So, that was a deflating Round 1, but as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Who was your player of the day?
How would your team look if Egan and Capewell are ruled out?
Has this loss changed your preseason thoughts?
What is your score prediction against the Storm?