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Monday, May 28, 2018

NZ Warriors 2018 Round 12 Review: Pattern continues as Warriors struggle against Burgess trio

Copyright Photo: Photosport
After their scrappy win over the bottom-dwelling Eels, the Warriors came home to Mount Smart to face a South Sydney Rabbitohs side currently enjoying a three-match winning streak.
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck returned to the side, but Mason Lino was ruled out, meaning Peta Hiku was moved into the halves with Gerard Beale slotting into the centres, but it wasn't enough to make a difference as the Warriors continued their current win-loss trend alive going down 30-10.

This was another tough game to watch, the Rabbitohs have been watching the game tape and knew exactly what to do to obtain a victory over the home side, simply put once again the Warriors forwards were bullied into submission.
The Burgess boys were on a rampage all night, and the Warriors showed no signs of stopping them.
Missing Lino did not help matters, but I think with the forwards struggling there wouldn't have been much Mason or even Shaun Johnson could have done to help this side get the victory here.
If the Warriors want to have a successful run in the playoffs, they need to seriously increase their intensity in the forwards as a way to combat their smaller stature in comparison to the top packs in the comp.
The bye week couldn't have come at a better time as Stephen Kearney and co need to go back to the drawing board an rethink the way they set up the pack.
Adam Blair needs to move out of the Lock position, move him to prop and have either Simon Mannering move there or have Ligi Sao come back as he was strong in the early rounds.

The backs are fine, Shaun will return after the bye, and the only other player I would be looking at bringing in fulltime is Gerard Beale for either centre.
Comments were split last week with many making good cases for why Solomona Kata or Peta Hiku should be dropped, right now for me, I would be siding with cutting Hiku, but I can see the other point of view also.

Beale looked strong once again in his second showing for the Warriors which leads me to my positives from the match.

I don't have many to be honest, but I did like how Gerard Beale constantly looked threatening when given the ball, there were several instances where he was able to get his upper body free in the tackle and was looking to offload the ball to create some much needed second phase.
Unfortunately, there were no players in support, and the Warriors really need to bring this into their game plan, they just need Roger, Shaun or even Issac to be running the channel just off the shoulder of the ball runner, add that dimension to their game and watch the tries pile on.

That is all I could really highlight as a positive this week as there was a lot more to be concerned about which leads me to my negatives.

The defence was woeful, I cannot even begin to understand how the Rabbitohs were able to score two tries so quickly when they had a man in the sin bin, that should never happen.
If you can't gain any momentum on attack falling apart on defence is just paving a road to disaster.

The forwards lacked that punch needed for NRL level football, it felt like Paasi was the only forward actually going running with intent in this match.
Bunty Afoa had a quiet game in comparison to how he has been performing this season and James Gavet was more interested in playing with his hair than bending the defensive line.
I'm hopeful that after the bye the forwards have a reshuffle or a change of attitude to bring themselves up to a top-eight quality.
The ladder is super tight right now, and a few more slipups like this and the Warriors could find themselves out of the eight with a battle on their hands to get back in as their points differential is going to take a mighty effort to improve.

The Warriors biggest issue is the way they are losing, the top sides have lost this year, but they have been tough hard-fought matches, the Warriors losses could almost be described as "easy wins" for their opponents.
I know they have only lost four matches this season, but unless they can bring a tough edge to their gameplay, I fear there will be a lot more losses coming.

Copyright Photo: Getty Images
My Warrior of the game goes to Roger Tuivasa-Sheck.
Regardless of how the team is performing, you can always bank on Rogers to be giving it 100% out there.
He showed intent with the ball in hand and was always trying to be involved in all facets of the game.
I hope that his baby arrives during the bye week as the road only gets harder if Roger was unavailable for another game.
If the rest of this side could match Roger's attitude, this side would be very dangerous and im hopeful that as his ability as a Captain grows so too does his influence over the players around him.

Copyright Photo: Getty Images
My Warrior to improve goes to Simon Mannering.
I never thought I would have Simon in this section ever and im sure I will get a lot of pushback, but for the past few weeks I have noticed that Simon is not playing at the level we have all come to expect.
For the first time his age seems to be showing, and in this match, he fell off tackles that he never would have before.
He has been the benchmark for this team for a long time, and I believe that carrying the Warriors for as long as he has done has taken a toll on him.
Simon himself has commented that he has enjoyed coming out of the bench instead of being an 80-minute player and I think that is how he should be used right now.
Admittingly losing Pulu to injury kind of changed how Mannering has been used but I think reverting back to Simon coming off the bench is what is best for the team.
Regardless of what his decision is when his contract runs out this season, you cannot deny the contribution Simon has made to this club, and I think the Warriors would be fools if they did not find a place for him inside the organisation after his playing days are over.
His work ethic is second to none and if could pass that onto the young talent coming up the club would be all the better for it.

Round 13 sees the Warriors have there one and only bye this season and with the two points, they will earn they will stay in the top eight once again.
Round 14 will see the Warriors fly down to Christchurch to face the Manly Sea Eagles hopefully with all their players back from injury.
I am predicting the win-loss pattern to continue with the Warriors getting a 14 point victory over the Manly side.

With no game to review next week I will be posting my midseason review so that is something to look forward to next Monday after having a no Warriors game to watch in the weekend.

So that was my take on a tough Round 12, and as usual, I will leave you with some questions.

Are you worried about how the Warriors are performing in recent Rounds?
Do you think I was unfair on Simon?
Where do you see the Warriors finishing on the ladder?
Who would be your midseason MVP for the Warriors?






5 comments:

  1. I love your posts very interesting totally agree with you the Warrior's are very patchy at the moment the rounds will only get tougher for them Simon Mannering is a legend have respect for him he is not an 80 minute player and it is good he is coming off the bench the thrashing at the hands of the Rabbits was woefully sad to watch no defence no nothing Roger is a true Warrior and hope baby arrives soon Kearney needs to put each player in a position that benefits their play Manly are really hurting right now they are in it to win it

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    1. Thank you, yes very patchy but I believe they have the ability to improve and have a successful run in the playoffs, they just need to work on a few areas of their game and they could be tough to beat.
      Simon is a legend and I really hope he gets to his 300th game this season but carrying this club on his back alone for so long has taken a toll so a reduced role from the interchange is what I believe is best for the club.
      Still no news on Roger's baby but hopefully it arrives during this weekend so he doesn't miss another game as the Warriors cant afford to lose any more players, hopefully Shaun stays injury free once he returns also.

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  2. Good summary as usual.

    I am very concerned with how the Warriors have been playing. It wasn't a convincing performance against the Eels, and our loses have been pretty substantial. Only bright point is our second half performance in both the Storm and Rabbitohs games. I'm not really sure what has gone wrong. They showed so much energy and spark at the start of the season, lately they have been looking a bit flat. As much flack as he receives, Johnson adds a major componant to the team. He is a smart player who picks his moments, but executes them effective and really creates opportunities for other players. It's no coincidence that 3 of our 4 losses have been without him.

    That was a pretty fair analysis of Mannering. He has never been a hard runner, but has been a beast in defense. Lately he just hasn't had that polished look. He only missed 2 tackles against the Rabbitohs but they both resulted in tries.

    I'm still very confident of top 8 finished. If I had to guess I would say about 6th, but as we know, a teams form cans change very quickly. Just look at how the Dragons played last year.

    Mid-season MPV(s) for me would have to be RTS and I'm also going to say Paasi.

    Fingers crossed Johnson can provide that attacking flair that they have been missing. Our forwards have been clearly out muscled in the last few games and our offload count is way down. Maybe they need to start shifting the ball earlier to try and create a few more opportunities. Bring on Christchurch. Looking forward to watching a game live for a change. Shame it's a home game for Manly as the supports stand is tucked away in the far corner :(

    Jason

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    1. Thank you Jason.

      I think to put it simply the Warriors surprised everyone early on but now teams know what they need to do to beat them, put pressure on the forwards and your 80% of the way to a win.
      Shaun is needed he adds the extra element and creates doubt in the minds of the defence, once he is back I feel that things may get back on track.

      Simon is a Warrior in every sense of the word but I just think a reduced role is whats best for him, the Warriors need some hard running forwards to start the match and that'S not his style, once Pulu is back i see him taking that second row spot back but maybe Ligi Sao could come back into the 13 and Mannering moves onto the interchange.

      In my season preview I predicted a 7th place finish and after the start I thought I had been to gun-shy but after the last few rounds I think my prediction could be close, depending on how the go in the second half of the season they could be anywhere from 4th-10th really with how close the comp is right now.

      Yeah I would be going with RTS, Paasi, Bunty or Luke.

      I'm hopeful Shaun can reinvigorate this side, second phase football is really needed to give them that competitive edge.
      Oh nice, going to the games live is always great, I was aiming to fly down for the Christchurch game but budget restrictions have got in the way, I believe the View from the East Stand Podcast guys are going down.
      Oh that is a shame to be shoved into the corner but I guess that comes with the territory with it being a Warriors away game.
      I hope they put in a good performance for you.


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  3. Simon mannering was woeful in defense , I feel he is past his best , looks a yard off the pace and can't tie up the middle how he used too. Adam Blair needs to stop trying to ball play and take the yards on offer and set up a quick play the ball for his halves to play off, seems to think he's a ball player it it is just not effective, repeatedly turns possession over with his loose carries. Hiku is definitely not the man to be dropped, none of the outside men deserve to be dropped so Beale will just have to wait to get his chance if someone's form dips or injury. MVP is 100% RTS , every game goes hard, warriors will struggle to make the 8 if they carry on like this, their for and against is horrible in comparison to the teams in the 8, a couple more losses and they could drop out. Here's hoping they string a few wins together.

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